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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Ajax

S U S S S

2–2

Full-time

Utrecht

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/26 matches

Win Ø 60%

77%

42%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

40%

65%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Utrecht 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	31	23	6	2	+48	75
2	Ajax	30	23	5	2	+54	74
3	Feyenoord	31	17	5	9	+20	56
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	5	11	+11	50
5	Vitesse	31	12	9	10	+21	45
6	Heracles	28	13	6	9	+0	45
7	Zwolle	29	13	5	11	+4	44
8	Nijmegen	30	12	7	11	-2	43
9	Groningen	30	11	8	11	-9	41
10	Heerenveen	30	11	7	12	-12	40
11	Utrecht	26	11	6	9	+7	39
12	Twente	31	11	6	14	-13	39
13	Den Haag	30	9	11	10	-2	38
14	Roda	31	7	10	14	-20	31
15	Willem II	30	5	10	15	-16	25
16	Excelsior	30	6	7	17	-26	25
17	De Graafschap	31	4	7	20	-26	19
18	Cambuur	30	3	8	19	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Nijmegen	15	10	2	3	+8	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	2	5	+11	29
6	Zwolle	14	9	2	3	+9	29
7	Groningen	15	8	3	4	+4	27
8	Twente	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
10	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+14	25
11	Utrecht	13	7	4	2	+7	25
12	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
14	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-4	15
15	Roda	16	3	6	7	-9	15
16	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-10	15
17	De Graafschap	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+29	39
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	Feyenoord	15	7	2	6	+2	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	3	6	+0	21
5	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+7	20
6	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Roda	15	4	4	7	-11	16
10	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-5	15
11	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
12	Groningen	15	3	5	7	-13	14
13	Twente	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-10	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Cambuur	15	1	4	10	-21	7
18	De Graafschap	15	1	2	12	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.