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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Ajax

S S S

4–0

Full-time

Den Haag

U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Den Haag 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Zwolle	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Heerenveen	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Roda	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Nijmegen	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Den Haag	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Twente	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Cambuur	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	De Graafschap	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Roda	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Den Haag	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Twente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Twente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Roda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	De Graafschap	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.