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Championship

Referee: Peter Bankes

Ipswich

U S T U S

0–2

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Championship · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 28%

31%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

31%

75%

Both score Ø 56%

31%

81%

Average goals

1,8

3,4

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ipswich 17. · Nott'm Forest 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	16	12	1	3	+21	37
2	Brighton	17	10	5	2	+16	35
3	Reading	17	9	4	4	+5	31
4	Huddersfield	16	9	2	5	-1	29
5	Birmingham	17	7	7	3	+4	28
6	Norwich	17	8	3	6	+0	27
7	Leeds	16	8	2	6	+2	26
8	Fulham	17	6	7	4	+5	25
9	Bristol City	17	7	3	7	+3	24
10	Preston	17	7	3	7	+2	24
11	Derby	17	6	5	6	+2	23
12	QPR	17	6	5	6	-4	23
13	Brentford	17	6	4	7	+4	22
14	Barnsley	17	6	4	7	+3	22
15	Aston Villa	17	4	10	3	+1	22
16	Sheffield Weds	16	6	4	6	-3	22
17	Ipswich	16	5	6	5	-1	21
18	Wolves	17	4	6	7	-2	18
19	Burton Albion	17	4	6	7	-5	18
20	Cardiff	17	5	3	9	-10	18
21	Nott'm Forest	16	4	4	8	-5	16
22	Blackburn	17	4	4	9	-8	16
23	Wigan	17	3	6	8	-5	15
24	Rotherham	17	1	4	12	-24	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	Huddersfield	7	6	1	0	+6	19
3	Newcastle	8	6	0	2	+9	18
4	Reading	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Birmingham	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Norwich	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Bristol City	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Sheffield Weds	8	5	0	3	+1	15
9	Brentford	8	4	2	2	+7	14
10	Aston Villa	8	3	5	0	+5	14
11	Burton Albion	8	4	2	2	+5	14
12	Nott'm Forest	8	4	2	2	+4	14
13	Leeds	8	4	2	2	+3	14
14	Preston	9	4	1	4	+4	13
15	Ipswich	8	3	4	1	+4	13
16	Barnsley	9	3	3	3	+2	12
17	Derby	9	3	3	3	+2	12
18	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	-1	12
19	QPR	9	3	3	3	-5	12
20	Fulham	9	2	4	3	+0	10
21	Cardiff	9	3	1	5	-5	10
22	Wigan	8	2	3	3	-1	9
23	Wolves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
24	Rotherham	8	1	3	4	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Fulham	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Brighton	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Reading	8	4	1	3	-2	13
5	Leeds	8	4	0	4	-1	12
6	QPR	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Derby	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Preston	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Norwich	9	3	2	4	-5	11
10	Barnsley	8	3	1	4	+1	10
11	Wolves	9	2	4	3	+1	10
12	Birmingham	8	2	4	2	-2	10
13	Huddersfield	9	3	1	5	-7	10
14	Bristol City	9	2	2	5	+0	8
15	Brentford	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Aston Villa	9	1	5	3	-4	8
17	Cardiff	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Ipswich	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Sheffield Weds	8	1	4	3	-4	7
20	Wigan	9	1	3	5	-4	6
21	Blackburn	8	1	1	6	-7	4
22	Burton Albion	9	0	4	5	-10	4
23	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-9	2
24	Rotherham	9	0	1	8	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.