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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Paris SG
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Nantes
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Nantes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 13 9 2 2 +24 29
2 Nice 12 9 2 1 +15 29
3 Paris SG 12 8 2 2 +17 26
4 Lyon 13 7 1 5 +5 22
5 Guingamp 12 6 3 3 +5 21
6 Rennes 12 6 2 4 -3 20
7 Toulouse 12 5 4 3 +6 19
8 Bordeaux 12 5 4 3 +2 19
9 St Etienne 12 4 6 2 +4 18
10 Angers 12 5 2 5 +0 17
11 Dijon 12 3 5 4 -1 14
12 Marseille 12 3 5 4 -1 14
13 Montpellier 12 3 5 4 -7 14
14 Metz 12 4 2 6 -10 14
15 Caen 12 4 1 7 -11 13
16 Nantes 12 3 3 6 -7 12
17 Bastia 12 3 2 7 -3 11
18 Lille 13 3 1 9 -9 10
19 Nancy 12 2 3 7 -12 9
20 Lorient 13 2 1 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Nantes
1–0 Á. di María
J. Augustin
13′
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ Á. di María
37′
Half-time 1–0
67′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
68′
🔁 F. Aristeguieta
↦ M. Stępiński
Jesé 🔁
↦ Lucas Moura
73′
75′
🔁 W. Moimbé
↦ J. Iloki
J. Pastore 🔁
↦ J. Augustin
82′
85′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ A. Thomasson
2–0 Jesé
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Trapp G
17 Maxwell D
2 Thiago Silva D
19 S. Aurier D
3 P. Kimpembe D
14 B. Matuidi M
8 T. Motta M
11 Á. di María F
6 M. Verratti M
7 Lucas Moura M
29 J. Augustin F
Bench (7)
21 H. Ben Arfa
22 Jesé
10 J. Pastore
4 G. Krychowiak
9 E. Cavani
12 T. Meunier
40 R. Descamps

Coach: Unai Emery

Nantes

4-3-3
1 R. Riou
4 O. Vizcarrondo D
6 Lucas Lima D
26 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
3 Diego Carlos D
27 G. Gillet M
8 A. Thomasson M
7 J. Iloki M
18 M. Stępiński F
10 Y. Bammou M
Bench (7)
2 F. Aristeguieta
13 W. Moimbé
19 A. Touré
11 A. Kačaniklić
17 A. Walongwa
23 N. Thomsen
30 M. Dupé

Coach: R. Girard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.