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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Sparta Rotterdam

T S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 29%

40%

17%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 10. · Nijmegen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Den Haag	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Roda	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
6	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.