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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Roda
T S T U U
0–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 9. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Den Haag 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Roda 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Nijmegen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Twente 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Groningen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Vitesse
22′
L. Baker 0–1
Christian Kum 🟨
35′
39′
🟨 Arnold Kruiswijk
Roel Brouwers 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ Nathan
59′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
Nathan Rutjes 🟨
60′
D. De Silva 🔁
↦ N. Rutjes
64′
N. Mytides 🔁
↦ A. Ajagun
70′
77′
🟨 Marvelous Nakamba
80′
🔁 V. Qazaishvili
↦ L. Baker
84′
🟨 Maikel Van der Werff
D. Boysen 🔁
↦ R. Brouwers
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Roda

4-3-1-2
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
4 R. Brouwers D
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
6 N. Rutjes M
8 A. Auassar D
7 T. Van Hyfte M
14 A. Ajagun M
24 F. Noor M
17 M. Rosheuvel M
Bench (8)
10 D. De Silva
11 N. Mytides
21 D. Boysen
19 M. Paulissen
20 D. Werker
22 Y. De Winter
29 T. Blättler
31 D. Stassar

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
21 S. Yeini M
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
11 Nathan M
Bench (8)
16 M. van Bergen
9 Zhang Yuning
10 V. Qazaishvili
8 K. Ota
14 A. Dauda
20 M. Osman
23 M. Tørnes
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.