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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
Full-time
Ajax
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%
5 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax
5′
⚽ D. Klaassen 0–1
A. El Ghazi
0–2 N. Gudelj ⚽
own goal
8′
11′
🟨 Mitchell Dijks
17′
🟨 Joël Veltman
Half-time 0–2
Florian Pinteaux 🟨
50′
54′
⚽ D. Sinkgraven 0–3
65′
⚽ M. Casierra 0–4
D. Sinkgraven
C. Goodwin 🔁
↦ Iván Calero
68′
Denzel Dumfries 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 D. van de Beek
↦ R. Bazoer
77′
🔁 K. Dolberg
↦ M. Casierra
P. van Moorsel 🔁
↦ M. Breuer
79′
84′
🟨 Joël Veltman
84′
🟥 Joël Veltman
Ryan Sanusi 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 H. Westermann
↦ A. El Ghazi
90′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
90′
🟨 Heiko Westermann
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
3 F. Pinteaux D
2 D. Dumfries D
6 R. van Drongelen D
4 R. Sanusi M
10 K. Dougall M
7 L. Brogno F
11 Iván Calero M
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (10)
17 C. Goodwin
16 P. van Moorsel
12 S. Floranus
14 B. Vriends
30 R. Kieboom
19 F. Stokkers
20 M. Verrips
13 R. Ketting
18 I. Alhalft
15 D. Mendes da Silva

Coach: A. Pastoor

Ajax

4-3-3
1 J. Cillessen G
3 J. Veltman D
2 K. Tete D
35 M. Dijks D
4 J. Riedewald D
27 N. Gudelj M
10 D. Klaassen M
6 R. Bazoer M
8 D. Sinkgraven D
7 A. El Ghazi M
19 M. Casierra F
Bench (8)
30 D. van de Beek
25 K. Dolberg
16 H. Westermann
39 R. Zivkovic
17 V. Černý
33 D. Boer
20 L. Schöne
26 N. Viergever

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.