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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Valencia
T T T T T
2–3
Full-time
Betis
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
24 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 19. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Sp Gijon 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Barcelona 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
7 Villarreal 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Leganes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Malaga 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Granada 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Osasuna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Celta 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
20′
🔁 F. Gutiérrez
↦ Fabián Ruiz
Enzo Pérez 🟨
22′
38′
Rubén Castro 0–1
C. Piccini
Martín Montoya 🔁
↦ José Gayá
45′
Half-time 0–1
Álvaro Medrán 🔁
↦ Mario Suárez
46′
Enzo Pérez 🟥
50′
54′
Joaquín 0–2
R. Durmisi
56′
🟨 Darko Brašanac
63′
🟨 Cristiano Piccini
Munir 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
63′
68′
🔁 C. Musonda
↦ Joaquín
Nani 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Petros
72′
🟨 Charly Musonda Jr
1–2 Rodrigo
Dani Parejo
75′
2–2 E. Garay
78′
82′
🔁 R. Zozulya
↦ Álex Alegría
92′
Rubén Castro 2–3
C. Piccini
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
1 Diego Alves G
24 E. Garay D
5 E. Mangala D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
7 Mario Suárez M
17 Nani M
8 E. Pérez M
10 Dani Parejo M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
21 Martín Montoya
20 Álvaro Medrán
9 Munir
4 Aderllan Santos
25 M. Ryan
27 Rafa Mir
28 Carlos Soler

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Betis

4-3-3
13 Adán G
23 A. Mandi D
14 R. Durmisi D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
17 Joaquín M
5 Petros M
22 D. Brašanac M
21 Fabián Ruiz M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Álex Alegría F
Bench (7)
6 F. Gutiérrez
7 C. Musonda
18 R. Zozulya
1 Dani Giménez
4 Bruno González
11 Matías Nahuel
16 Cejudo

Coach: G. Poyet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.