Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pacos Ferreira
Estoril
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |
Sp Braga
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Belenenses
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 7 |
| 7 |
Guimaraes
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 6 |
| 8 |
Boavista
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |
Chaves
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 |
Moreirense
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Feirense
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Arouca
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Tondela
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 |
Estoril
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nacional
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ivo Rodrigues
M
Coach: Carlos Pinto
Coach: Fabiano Soares
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Guimaraes
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Sp Lisbon
Moreirense
Pacos Ferreira
Vitoria Setubal
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Antonio Jorge Ferreira Goncalves · 23 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.