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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Swansea
S U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Chelsea
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 28
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 11
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 16. · Chelsea 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Chelsea 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Man United 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Tottenham 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Liverpool 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Arsenal 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Hull 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Everton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Watford 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Crystal Palace 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 West Brom 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Burnley 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Leicester 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Swansea 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 West Ham 4 1 0 3 -4 3
18 Southampton 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Stoke 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.