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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Lillestrom
T T U U U
2–4
Full-time
Odd
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
23%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
20 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Odd 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 16 5 1 +34 53
2 Brann 23 11 5 7 +10 38
3 Odd 22 11 5 6 +7 38
4 Haugesund 22 11 5 6 +5 38
5 Molde 22 11 4 7 +6 37
6 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 6 6 +1 36
7 Stromsgodset 23 10 5 8 +5 35
8 Viking 23 9 6 8 -3 33
9 Valerenga 23 8 5 10 +0 29
10 Sogndal 23 6 10 7 -3 28
11 Tromso 23 7 6 10 -6 27
12 Bodo/Glimt 22 6 6 10 -4 24
13 Lillestrom 22 5 8 9 -4 23
14 Aalesund 23 6 5 12 -13 23
15 Stabaek 22 5 6 11 -5 21
16 Start 23 0 9 14 -30 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Odd
Gary Martin 🟨
-3′
25′
🟨 Jone Samuelsen
1–0 G. Martin
M. Ofkir
35′
45′
E. Ruud 1–1
R. Zekhnini
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 S. Mladenovic
↦ R. Zekhnini
60′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ F. Nordkvelle
65′
E. Ruud 1–2
66′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ J. Samuelsen
O. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ H. Skogseid
74′
I. Mathew 🔁
↦ T. Malec
74′
2–2 S. Mikalsen
I. Mathew
84′
S. Sinyan 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
88′
Frode Kippe 🟨
90′
93′
E. Ruud 2–3
95′
S. Haugen 2–4
C. Akabueze
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 H. Björnsson
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
11 E. Knudtzon F
19 G. Martin F
23 T. Malec F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (7)
5 O. Rindarøy
6 I. Mathew
26 S. Sinyan
17 J. Kolstad
18 B. Innocent
21 P. Olsen
29 E. Ødegaard

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
18 J. Nilsen M
4 V. Bergan D
8 J. Samuelsen M
14 F. Nordkvelle M
20 F. Jensen M
24 Riku Riski F
26 C. Akabueze
11 R. Zekhnini F
Bench (7)
13 S. Mladenovic
6 O. Berg
15 S. Haugen
5 T. Grøgaard
12 V. Myhra
19 Z. Messoudi
23 L. Eriksen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.