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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Twente

S U S T U

2–0

Full-time

Excelsior

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 27%

35%

19%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

68%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

68%

48%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Twente 13. · Excelsior 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	32	24	6	2	+50	78
2	Ajax	31	23	6	2	+54	75
3	Feyenoord	32	17	6	9	+20	57
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	5	11	+11	50
5	Zwolle	30	14	5	11	+6	47
6	Heracles	29	13	7	9	+0	46
7	Nijmegen	32	13	7	12	-3	46
8	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	+19	45
9	Groningen	31	12	8	11	-8	44
10	Den Haag	31	10	11	10	+0	41
11	Heerenveen	31	11	8	12	-12	41
12	Utrecht	28	11	7	10	+5	40
13	Twente	31	11	6	14	-13	39
14	Roda	32	7	10	15	-21	31
15	Excelsior	31	6	8	17	-26	26
16	Willem II	31	5	10	16	-18	25
17	De Graafschap	32	5	7	20	-24	22
18	Cambuur	31	3	8	20	-40	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	3	1	+33	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+21	39
3	Nijmegen	16	11	2	3	+9	35
4	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
5	Zwolle	15	10	2	3	+11	32
6	Groningen	16	9	3	4	+5	30
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	2	5	+11	29
8	Heracles	14	8	3	3	+4	27
9	Twente	15	8	2	5	+4	26
10	Vitesse	16	7	4	5	+14	25
11	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+5	25
12	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
14	Excelsior	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-6	15
16	Roda	16	3	6	7	-9	15
17	De Graafschap	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+29	39
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	Feyenoord	16	7	3	6	+2	24
4	Den Haag	16	6	4	6	+1	22
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	3	6	+0	21
6	Vitesse	16	5	5	6	+5	20
7	Heracles	15	5	4	6	-4	19
8	Heerenveen	16	5	4	7	-10	19
9	Roda	16	4	4	8	-12	16
10	Utrecht	14	4	3	7	+0	15
11	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Groningen	15	3	5	7	-13	14
13	Twente	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Nijmegen	16	2	5	9	-12	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	De Graafschap	16	2	2	12	-18	8
18	Cambuur	16	1	4	11	-22	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.