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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Excelsior

U T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Groningen

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

19%

36%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

42%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 16. · Groningen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	27	20	6	1	+43	66
2	Ajax	26	20	4	2	+48	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	27	14	4	9	+11	46
4	Feyenoord	26	13	4	9	+12	43
5	Vitesse	26	11	7	8	+21	40
6	Nijmegen	26	11	6	9	+0	39
7	Zwolle	25	11	5	9	+6	38
8	Heracles	24	10	5	9	-5	35
9	Groningen	25	9	7	9	-8	34
10	Twente	27	10	4	13	-13	34
11	Heerenveen	27	9	7	11	-14	34
12	Den Haag	26	8	9	9	-2	33
13	Utrecht	23	9	5	9	+4	32
14	Roda	27	6	10	11	-15	28
15	Willem II	27	5	10	12	-10	25
16	Excelsior	26	5	7	14	-21	22
17	De Graafschap	27	4	5	18	-22	17
18	Cambuur	26	3	7	16	-35	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+30	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	3	0	+19	33
3	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
4	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+13	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Twente	13	8	1	4	+5	25
7	Groningen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
8	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+16	23
9	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+4	23
10	Heracles	12	7	2	3	+2	23
11	Heerenveen	13	5	4	4	-3	19
12	Utrecht	10	5	3	2	+4	18
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	De Graafschap	14	3	3	8	-6	12
17	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	2	5	+2	20
4	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+5	17
5	Feyenoord	13	5	2	6	-1	17
6	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	+2	15
8	Heerenveen	14	4	3	7	-11	15
9	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
10	Roda	13	3	4	6	-10	13
11	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	13	1	3	9	-19	6
18	De Graafschap	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.