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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Feyenoord
S S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 47%
55%
39%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
42%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Nijmegen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 25 6 2 +60 81
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 25 6 2 +54 81
3 Feyenoord 33 18 6 9 +21 60
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 17 5 11 +15 56
5 Zwolle 31 14 6 11 +6 48
6 Heracles 30 13 8 9 +0 47
7 Groningen 32 13 8 11 -7 47
8 Nijmegen 33 13 7 13 -4 46
9 Vitesse 33 12 9 12 +17 45
10 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +7 43
11 Den Haag 33 10 12 11 -1 42
12 Twente 33 12 6 15 -15 42
13 Heerenveen 33 11 8 14 -15 41
14 Roda 33 8 10 15 -20 34
15 Excelsior 33 6 9 18 -28 27
16 Willem II 33 5 11 17 -19 26
17 De Graafschap 33 5 7 21 -27 22
18 Cambuur 33 3 9 21 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Dec -15 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 3–1

Match report

Feyenoord Nijmegen
17′
🟨 Marcel Appiah
Half-time 0–0
Simon Gustafson 🔁
↦ E. Elia
51′
1–0 D. Kuijt
R. Karsdorp
55′
64′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ M. Ritzmaier
66′
🟨 Navarone Foor
67′
🔁 J. Grot
↦ Janio Bikel
73′
🟨 Jay-Roy Grot
A. Achahbar 🔁
↦ D. Kuijt
76′
82′
🔁 J. Sleegers
↦ N. Foor
J. Schuurman 🔁
↦ T. Vilhena
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
18 M. Nelom D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
21 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
14 B. Basaçikoglu M
Bench (7)
27 Simon Gustafson
29 A. Achahbar
30 J. Schuurman
5 M. Vejinovic
6 J. van der Heijden
23 P. Hansson
26 B. Nieuwkoop

Nijmegen

30 B. Jones G
33 R. van Eijden D
3 D. Dumić D
2 M. Appiah D
15 L. Woudenberg D
24 M. Ritzmaier M
8 G. Breinburg M
25 N. Foor M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
10 A. Limbombe F
Bench (7)
20 M. Rayhi
31 J. Grot
9 J. Sleegers
4 W. Golla
6 M. Dyrestam
22 J. Smits
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.