Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Nijmegen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | +60 | 81 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | +54 | 81 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +21 | 60 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | +15 | 56 |
| 5 |
Zwolle
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 6 |
Heracles
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +0 | 47 |
| 7 |
Groningen
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Nijmegen
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 46 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +17 | 45 |
| 10 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 43 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 |
Twente
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 |
Heerenveen
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 |
Roda
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -20 | 34 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -28 | 27 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -19 | 26 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | -27 | 22 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | -44 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Toornstra
M
T. Vilhena
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Willem II
Feyenoord
Heracles
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Groningen
Twente
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.