Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Twente
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | +54 | 74 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | +45 | 72 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 52 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | +7 | 47 |
| 5 |
Vitesse
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +21 | 44 |
| 6 |
Zwolle
|
28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 44 |
| 7 |
Heracles
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +0 | 44 |
| 8 |
Nijmegen
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Den Haag
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -2 | 38 |
| 13 |
Twente
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 38 |
| 14 |
Roda
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -16 | 25 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | -26 | 18 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | -39 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Marsman
G
J. Andersen
D
H. ter Avest
D
O. Zawada
F
J. Toornstra
M
T. Vilhena
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Willem II
Twente
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Zwolle
Den Haag
Twente
Twente
Groningen
Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.