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La Liga
Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero
Las Palmas
S U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
4 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
9 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 10. · Ath Bilbao 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 +75 85
2 Ath Madrid 36 27 4 5 +44 85
3 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +73 84
4 Villarreal 36 18 10 8 +13 64
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 7 12 +11 58
6 Celta 36 16 9 11 -7 57
7 Sevilla 36 14 10 12 +6 52
8 Malaga 36 11 12 13 +1 45
9 Valencia 36 11 11 14 +0 44
10 Las Palmas 36 12 7 17 -5 43
11 Sociedad 36 11 9 16 -5 42
12 Eibar 36 11 9 16 -10 42
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -19 41
14 Espanol 36 11 7 18 -31 40
15 La Coruna 36 7 18 11 -16 39
16 Granada 36 9 9 18 -23 36
17 Vallecano 36 8 11 17 -22 35
18 Sp Gijon 36 9 8 19 -24 35
19 Getafe 36 9 8 19 -29 35
20 Levante 36 7 8 21 -32 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Ath Bilbao
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 Gurpegi
↦ De Marcos
57′
🔁 Susaeta
↦ Iñaki Williams
Momo 🔁
↦ Tana
62′
Ángel López 🔁
↦ Valerón
73′
75′
🔁 Iturraspe
↦ Raúl García
Nauzet Alemán 🔁
↦ Hernán
81′
Momo 🟨
85′
89′
🟨 Aritz Aduriz
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

1 Raúl Lizoáin G
16 Aythami Artiles
5 David García D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
21 Valerón M
4 Vicente Gómez M
14 Hernán M
8 Willian José F
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
11 Momo
6 Ángel López
7 Nauzet Alemán
2 David Simón
10 S. Araújo
13 Javi Varas
15 Roque Mesa

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
2 Bóveda D
22 Raúl García M
7 Beñat M
3 Elustondo M
10 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
19 Muniain F
15 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
18 Gurpegi
14 Susaeta
8 Iturraspe
11 Ibai
13 Iago Herrerín
17 Mikel Rico
21 Viguera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pedro Jesus Perez Montero · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
1,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.