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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Tottenham

U S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Southampton

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 49%

53%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

47%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

20 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 2. · Southampton 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	37	23	11	3	+32	80
2	Tottenham	36	19	13	4	+39	70
3	Arsenal	36	19	10	7	+25	67
4	Man City	36	19	7	10	+30	64
5	Man United	36	18	9	9	+13	63
6	West Ham	36	15	14	7	+14	59
7	Southampton	36	16	9	11	+14	57
8	Liverpool	35	15	10	10	+11	55
9	Chelsea	36	12	12	12	+6	48
10	Stoke	37	13	9	15	-15	48
11	Swansea	37	12	10	15	-10	46
12	Everton	36	10	14	12	+4	44
13	Watford	35	12	8	15	-6	44
14	Crystal Palace	37	11	9	17	-9	42
15	West Brom	37	10	12	15	-14	42
16	Bournemouth	37	11	9	17	-20	42
17	Sunderland	36	8	11	17	-17	35
18	Newcastle	37	8	10	19	-25	34
19	Norwich	36	8	7	21	-27	31
20	Aston Villa	37	3	8	26	-45	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	19	12	6	1	+17	42
2	Man United	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Man City	18	12	1	5	+26	37
4	Arsenal	18	11	4	3	+16	37
5	Tottenham	18	10	6	2	+21	36
6	Southampton	18	10	3	5	+14	33
7	West Ham	18	8	7	3	+7	31
8	Swansea	18	8	5	5	+0	29
9	Liverpool	17	7	7	3	+9	28
10	Newcastle	18	6	7	5	+4	25
11	Stoke	18	7	4	7	-3	25
12	Chelsea	18	5	8	5	+2	23
13	Watford	18	6	5	7	+1	23
14	West Brom	18	6	4	8	-6	22
15	Sunderland	18	5	6	7	+0	21
16	Crystal Palace	19	6	3	10	-4	21
17	Everton	18	5	5	8	+2	20
18	Norwich	18	5	5	8	-6	20
19	Bournemouth	19	5	5	9	-11	20
20	Aston Villa	19	2	5	12	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	18	11	5	2	+15	38
2	Tottenham	18	9	7	2	+18	34
3	Arsenal	18	8	6	4	+9	30
4	West Ham	18	7	7	4	+7	28
5	Man City	18	7	6	5	+4	27
6	Liverpool	18	8	3	7	+2	27
7	Chelsea	18	7	4	7	+4	25
8	Man United	18	7	4	7	-3	25
9	Everton	18	5	9	4	+2	24
10	Southampton	18	6	6	6	+0	24
11	Stoke	19	6	5	8	-12	23
12	Bournemouth	18	6	4	8	-9	22
13	Crystal Palace	18	5	6	7	-5	21
14	Watford	17	6	3	8	-7	21
15	West Brom	19	4	8	7	-8	20
16	Swansea	19	4	5	10	-10	17
17	Sunderland	18	3	5	10	-17	14
18	Norwich	18	3	2	13	-21	11
19	Newcastle	19	2	3	14	-29	9
20	Aston Villa	18	1	3	14	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.