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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Valerenga
T S T S T
3–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 19%
13%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Sarpsborg 08 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odd 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Rosenborg 8 6 1 1 +11 19
3 Molde 8 5 2 1 +5 17
4 Stromsgodset 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Brann 9 5 2 2 +2 17
6 Viking 9 5 1 3 +0 16
7 Lillestrom 9 3 4 2 +4 13
8 Haugesund 8 4 1 3 +3 13
9 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 3 2 +4 12
10 Tromso 9 2 3 4 -10 9
11 Sogndal 8 2 2 4 -4 8
12 Aalesund 8 2 1 5 +0 7
13 Bodo/Glimt 9 2 1 6 -4 7
14 Valerenga 8 2 0 6 -6 6
15 Stabaek 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Start 9 0 4 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08
1–0 E. Jääger
K. Wæhler
21′
38′
🔁 K. Jónsson
↦ K. Tokstad
44′
🔁 M. Hart
↦ S. Ernemann
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Brown
D. Holm
52′
59′
🔁 P. Mortensen
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
A. Nedrebø 🔁
↦ V. Sakor
76′
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ G. Zahid
82′
E. Ómarsson 🔁
↦ D. Brown
82′
3–0 E. Ómarsson
R. Lindkvist
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

30 A. Falch G
3 E. Jääger D
24 K. Wæhler
6 S. Larsen D
19 C. Grindheim F
7 D. Holm M
16 V. Sakor M
10 G. Zahid M
23 S. Berge M
9 R. Lindkvist M
26 D. Brown F
Bench (7)
33 A. Nedrebø
14 H. Stengel
22 E. Ómarsson
8 J. Arvidsson
17 N. Castro
21 S. Juklerød
34 A. Moller

Sarpsborg 08

21 A. Kristiansen
4 K. Berge
16 J. Thomassen D
23 J. Glesnes D
29 A. Groven D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
18 T. Hovda M
17 S. Ernemann M
11 K. Tokstad M
22 J. Tveita D
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
19 K. Jónsson
42 M. Hart
69 P. Mortensen
1 A. Østbø
10 J. Lindberg
13 O. Hansen
15 S. Rosted

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.