Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zwolle
Nijmegen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | +50 | 78 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | +54 | 75 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | +20 | 56 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 50 |
| 5 |
Nijmegen
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 46 |
| 6 |
Vitesse
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +19 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heracles
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 45 |
| 8 |
Zwolle
|
29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +4 | 44 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 41 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 |
Utrecht
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +7 | 40 |
| 13 |
Twente
|
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 |
Roda
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -21 | 31 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -18 | 25 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -26 | 19 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -40 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Becker
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle
Zwolle
Roda
Ajax
Zwolle
Zwolle
Willem II
Twente
Zwolle
Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.