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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Roda
T T T T S
2–3
Full-time
Willem II
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 20%
24%
15%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 14. · Willem II 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 25 6 2 +60 81
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 25 6 2 +54 81
3 Feyenoord 33 18 6 9 +21 60
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 17 5 11 +15 56
5 Zwolle 31 14 6 11 +6 48
6 Heracles 30 13 8 9 +0 47
7 Groningen 32 13 8 11 -7 47
8 Nijmegen 33 13 7 13 -4 46
9 Vitesse 33 12 9 12 +17 45
10 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +7 43
11 Den Haag 33 10 12 11 -1 42
12 Twente 33 12 6 15 -15 42
13 Heerenveen 33 11 8 14 -15 41
14 Roda 33 8 10 15 -20 34
15 Excelsior 33 6 9 18 -28 27
16 Willem II 33 5 11 17 -19 26
17 De Graafschap 33 5 7 21 -27 22
18 Cambuur 33 3 9 21 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Dec -15 Willem II – Roda 3–2

Match report

Roda Willem II
1–0 J. Buijs
T. Van Hyfte
19′
34′
E. Falkenburg 1–1
G. Joppen
Uğur İnceman 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Erik Falkenburg
2–1 U. Inceman
A. van Peppen
39′
Martin Milec 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–2
47′
Bruno Andrade 2–2
E. Falkenburg
Marcos Gullon 🟨
52′
55′
L. Andersen 2–3
Tomi Juric 🟨
62′
H. Faik 🔁
↦ G. Zhukov
66′
M. Ngombo 🔁
↦ T. Jurić
66′
69′
🔁 T. Ondaan
↦ G. Hupperts
N. Rutjes 🔁
↦ U. Inceman
76′
78′
🔁 D. Koppers
↦ A. Kali
82′
🔁 N. van der Velden
↦ Bruno Andrade
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
5 A. van Peppen D
3 J. Buijs D
31 U. Inceman M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
16 Marcos Gullón M
2 M. Milec D
30 G. Zhukov M
14 R. Poepon F
19 M. van Duinen F
9 T. Jurić F
Bench (7)
8 H. Faik
15 M. Ngombo
6 N. Rutjes
24 F. Noor
26 N. Wolters
28 M. Monteyne
29 T. Blättler

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
24 G. Joppen D
35 R. Achenteh M
15 D. Wuytens D
3 F. Heerkens D
10 E. Falkenburg F
2 A. Kali M
18 L. Andersen M
11 Bruno Andrade F
14 G. Hupperts F
Bench (7)
7 T. Ondaan
5 D. Koppers
23 N. van der Velden
17 R. Braber
21 D. Meul
37 A. Nemec
38 A. Kawaya

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.