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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

AZ Alkmaar

S T S S U

2–4

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 61%

50%

71%

Points per game

1,7

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

64%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

61%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,4

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	28	21	5	2	+50	68
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	20	6	2	+41	66
3	Feyenoord	28	15	4	9	+16	49
4	AZ Alkmaar	28	14	5	9	+11	47
5	Vitesse	28	12	7	9	+22	43
6	Zwolle	26	12	5	9	+9	41
7	Heracles	26	12	5	9	-2	41
8	Nijmegen	28	11	7	10	-1	40
9	Den Haag	28	9	10	9	-1	37
10	Utrecht	25	10	6	9	+5	36
11	Twente	28	10	5	13	-13	35
12	Groningen	27	9	7	11	-12	34
13	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-15	34
14	Roda	28	7	10	11	-14	31
15	Willem II	28	5	10	13	-13	25
16	Excelsior	28	6	7	15	-21	25
17	De Graafschap	29	4	6	19	-24	18
18	Cambuur	29	3	8	18	-38	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+30	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Feyenoord	14	9	2	3	+15	29
4	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Zwolle	13	8	2	3	+7	26
7	Twente	14	8	2	4	+5	26
8	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
9	Groningen	14	7	3	4	+2	24
10	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+14	23
11	Utrecht	12	6	4	2	+5	22
12	Den Haag	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
14	Willem II	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	Excelsior	14	4	3	7	-8	15
17	De Graafschap	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Cambuur	14	2	4	8	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	14	10	3	1	+20	33
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	14	6	2	6	+1	20
6	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-1	18
7	Roda	14	4	4	6	-9	16
8	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	+2	15
9	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-6	15
10	Heerenveen	14	4	3	7	-11	15
11	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
12	Nijmegen	14	2	5	7	-8	11
13	Willem II	14	2	4	8	-10	10
14	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-13	10
15	Groningen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	15	1	4	10	-21	7
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.