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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Twente

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Zwolle

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 26/24 matches

Win Ø 41%

35%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

69%

58%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

58%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 13. · Zwolle 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	20	5	1	+43	65
2	Ajax	26	20	4	2	+48	64
3	Feyenoord	26	13	4	9	+12	43
4	AZ Alkmaar	26	13	4	9	+9	43
5	Vitesse	26	11	7	8	+21	40
6	Nijmegen	26	11	6	9	+0	39
7	Zwolle	24	11	5	8	+7	38
8	Heracles	24	10	5	9	-5	35
9	Groningen	25	9	7	9	-8	34
10	Den Haag	26	8	9	9	-2	33
11	Heerenveen	26	9	6	11	-14	33
12	Utrecht	23	9	5	9	+4	32
13	Twente	26	9	4	13	-14	31
14	Roda	27	6	10	11	-15	28
15	Willem II	26	5	10	11	-8	25
16	Excelsior	26	5	7	14	-21	22
17	De Graafschap	27	4	5	18	-22	17
18	Cambuur	26	3	7	16	-35	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+30	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	2	0	+19	32
3	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
4	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+13	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Groningen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
7	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+16	23
8	Zwolle	12	7	2	3	+4	23
9	Heracles	12	7	2	3	+2	23
10	Twente	12	7	1	4	+4	22
11	Heerenveen	13	5	4	4	-3	19
12	Utrecht	10	5	3	2	+4	18
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	De Graafschap	14	3	3	8	-6	12
17	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+5	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	2	5	+0	17
5	Feyenoord	13	5	2	6	-1	17
6	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Zwolle	12	4	3	5	+3	15
8	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
9	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-11	14
10	Roda	13	3	4	6	-10	13
11	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Willem II	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	13	1	3	9	-19	6
18	De Graafschap	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.