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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
AZ Alkmaar
T U
0–0
Full-time
Willem II
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 13. · Willem II 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Twente 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
13′
🟨 Frank van der Struijk
43′
🟨 Dries Wuytens
Half-time 0–0
62′
🟨 Funso Ojo
65′
🟨 Nick Van der Velden
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
65′
70′
🔁 R. Braber
↦ N. van der Velden
70′
🔁 J. Mathieu
↦ E. Falkenburg
G. Hupperts 🔁
↦ M. Tankovic
71′
D. Luckassen 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
71′
76′
🔁 R. Ligeon
↦ L. de Sa
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

1 S. Rochet G
2 M. Johansson D
14 J. van der Linden D
3 J. Gouweleeuw D
24 R. Haps D
10 M. Henriksen M
8 J. van Overeem M
20 T. Haye M
19 D. dos Santos F
11 M. Tankovic M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
21 R. Mühren
7 G. Hupperts
23 D. Luckassen
29 F. Lewis
4 J. Wuytens
16 G. Coutinho
26 S. Spierings

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
5 D. Koppers D
15 D. Wuytens D
14 N. van der Velden
10 E. Falkenburg F
29 S. Wuytens D
6 F. Ojo M
19 L. de Sa F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
17 R. Braber
22 J. Mathieu
2 R. Ligeon
8 R. Haemhouts
21 D. Meul
24 G. Joppen
30 J. Vleugels

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.