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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Dijon
U T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 14%
20%
7%
Points per game
0,9
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Guingamp 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 14 1 0 +39 43
2 Lille 16 9 3 4 +10 30
3 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
4 Lyon 15 8 4 3 +8 28
5 Marseille 15 8 2 5 +5 26
6 St Etienne 15 7 5 3 +4 26
7 Nice 16 7 4 5 -2 25
8 Strasbourg 15 5 6 4 +6 21
9 Reims 15 5 6 4 -3 21
10 Nimes 15 5 5 5 +2 20
11 Bordeaux 15 4 6 5 -1 18
12 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Nantes 15 4 5 6 -1 17
14 Rennes 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Toulouse 15 3 6 6 -11 15
16 Caen 15 2 7 6 -6 13
17 Monaco 16 3 4 9 -8 13
18 Dijon 15 3 4 8 -11 13
19 Amiens 16 4 1 11 -15 13
20 Guingamp 15 1 5 9 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Guingamp
1–0 B. Jeannot
O. Haddadi
14′
Valentin Rosier 🟨
18′
43′
🟨 Pedro Rebocho
Júlio Tavares 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. N'Gbakoto
↦ N. Benezet
Wesley Lautoa 🟨
59′
65′
🔁 M. Phaeton
↦ R. Rodelin
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ F. Sammaritano
69′
Wesley Lautoa 🟨
71′
Wesley Lautoa 🟥
71′
L. Ciman 🔁
↦ B. Jeannot
73′
79′
M. Coco 1–1
Pedro Rebocho
Oussama Haddadi 🟨
81′
2–1 O. Haddadi
V. Rosier
86′
87′
🔁 C. Traoré
↦ F. Eboa Eboa
Mehdi Abeid 🟨
89′
J. Marié 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 B. Allain G
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
7 F. Sammaritano M
20 R. Amalfitano M
8 M. Abeid M
10 N. Sliti M
11 Júlio Tavares F
29 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
9 W. Saïd
6 L. Ciman
14 J. Marié
31 S. Doumbouya
15 F. Balmont
26 F. Chafik
30 L. Ntumba

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
22 É. Didot M
10 N. Benezet M
24 M. Coco M
7 L. Blas M
23 R. Rodelin F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
12 Y. N'Gbakoto
33 M. Phaeton
25 C. Traoré
6 L. Phiri
16 M. Caillard
18 G. Fofana
27 F. Tabanou

Coach: Vincent Rautureau

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.