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Ligue 1

Referee: O Thual

Lyon

U S S U T

2–0

Full-time

Nimes

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 6. · Nimes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	9	0	0	+26	27
2	Lille	9	6	1	2	+10	19
3	Marseille	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Montpellier	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	St Etienne	9	4	3	2	-1	15
6	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Bordeaux	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Toulouse	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
10	Angers	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Rennes	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Nice	9	3	2	4	-6	11
13	Amiens	9	3	1	5	-2	10
14	Nimes	9	2	4	3	-3	10
15	Caen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Dijon	9	3	1	5	-4	10
17	Reims	9	2	4	3	-5	10
18	Monaco	9	1	3	5	-4	6
19	Nantes	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Lille	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Lyon	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Amiens	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Caen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Angers	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Nice	4	1	0	3	-7	3
18	Monaco	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Nice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Dijon	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	Nimes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Reims	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Bordeaux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Lille	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Caen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Guingamp	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-6	3
20	Amiens	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.