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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Toulouse

S S S U U

2–3

Full-time

St Etienne

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 4. · St Etienne 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	-1	11
5	Marseille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Dijon	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Angers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Nice	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	-2	9
11	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Reims	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Monaco	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Caen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-3	4
20	Guingamp	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	Toulouse	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Angers	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Marseille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.