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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Nice

S T S U U

1–0

Full-time

Montpellier

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 35%

39%

30%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

52%

27%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 6. · Montpellier 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	33	28	3	2	+80	87
2	Monaco	34	21	7	6	+35	70
3	Lyon	34	20	9	5	+39	69
4	Marseille	34	20	9	5	+31	69
5	Rennes	34	13	9	12	+2	48
6	Nice	33	13	8	12	-1	47
7	Montpellier	33	10	16	7	+3	46
8	Nantes	34	12	10	12	-4	46
9	St Etienne	33	12	10	11	-7	46
10	Guingamp	34	12	9	13	-8	45
11	Bordeaux	33	12	7	14	-4	43
12	Dijon	34	11	9	14	-18	42
13	Amiens	34	11	7	16	-6	40
14	Angers	34	8	13	13	-8	37
15	Caen	33	10	6	17	-19	36
16	Strasbourg	34	8	10	16	-22	34
17	Toulouse	33	8	9	16	-13	33
18	Troyes	33	8	5	20	-22	29
19	Lille	34	7	8	19	-25	29
20	Metz	34	6	8	20	-33	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	17	0	0	+57	51
2	Monaco	17	14	2	1	+29	44
3	Marseille	17	10	5	2	+23	35
4	Lyon	16	9	5	2	+14	32
5	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	Dijon	17	9	3	5	+4	30
7	Nice	17	8	3	6	+2	27
8	Amiens	17	7	4	6	+5	25
9	St Etienne	16	6	7	3	+1	25
10	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+1	25
11	Nantes	17	7	4	6	-1	25
12	Caen	16	7	3	6	-1	24
13	Toulouse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
14	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	+2	23
15	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	-1	23
16	Angers	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Rennes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
18	Troyes	17	6	3	8	-4	21
19	Lille	17	4	6	7	-6	18
20	Metz	17	3	4	10	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+25	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	3	2	+23	36
3	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+8	34
4	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+5	27
5	Monaco	17	7	5	5	+6	26
6	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	+1	23
7	Nantes	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-8	21
9	Nice	16	5	5	6	-3	20
10	Bordeaux	17	5	3	9	-5	18
11	Angers	17	3	7	7	-5	16
12	Amiens	17	4	3	10	-11	15
13	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	Metz	17	3	4	10	-17	13
15	Caen	17	3	3	11	-18	12
16	Dijon	17	2	6	9	-22	12
17	Lille	17	3	2	12	-19	11
18	Strasbourg	17	2	5	10	-21	11
19	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-15	10
20	Troyes	16	2	2	12	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.