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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Montpellier

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Nice

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 14. · Nice 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Paris SG	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Metz	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Nice	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Bordeaux	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Guingamp	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Bastia	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Angers	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Caen	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Marseille	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Lille	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Nancy	5	1	1	3	-5	4
20	Lorient	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
8	Paris SG	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Dijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Lille	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Metz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Angers	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Lille	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Caen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.