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Ligue 1
Referee: Thomas Leonard
Montpellier
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Caen
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Apr -17 Caen – Montpellier 0–2 15. Oct -16 Montpellier – Caen 3–2 23. Jan -16 Montpellier – Caen 1–2 19. Sep -15 Caen – Montpellier 2–1

Match report

Montpellier Caen
38′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Camara ⚽
K. Bérigaud
58′
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
65′
66′
🔁 C. Kouakou
↦ R. Rodelin
70′
🔁 S. Peeters
↦ D. Avounou
S. Sessègnon 🔁
↦ K. Bérigaud
75′
78′
🔁 A. Mbengue
↦ H. Bazile
Jérôme Roussillon 🟨
81′
Isaac Mbenza 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
5 Pedro Mendes D
24 J. Roussillon D
23 N. Mukiele D
7 P. Lasne M
13 E. Skhiri M
9 J. Ikoné M
19 S. Camara F
11 K. Bérigaud F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
29 C. Ninga
28 S. Sessègnon
1 L. Pionnier
2 R. Aguilar
8 B. Passi
20 K. Dolly
31 N. Cozza

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Caen

4-3-3
1 R. Vercoutre G
29 R. Genevois D
21 F. Guilbert D
24 A. Djiku D
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
18 D. Avounou M
12 R. Rodelin F
26 I. Santini F
20 H. Bazile F
Bench (7)
13 C. Kouakou
8 S. Peeters
22 A. Mbengue
3 F. Le Joncour
15 E. Imorou
19 J. Leborgne
30 B. Samba

Coach: P. Garande

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Thomas Leonard · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.