OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | +38 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ranheim
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |
Stabaek
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Sandnes ULF
|
15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 28 |
| 6 |
Mjondalen
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 |
Start
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +10 | 23 |
| 9 |
KFUM Oslo
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |
Fredrikstad
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 21 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -16 | 17 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 |
Kongsvinger
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | -16 | 7 |
| 15 |
Grorud
|
16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -18 | 6 |
| 16 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -22 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fredrikstad
Raufoss
Skeid
Raufoss
Raufoss
Brann
Stjørdals-Blink
Raufoss
Raufoss
Mjondalen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.