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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
Bordeaux
U S T S U
1–4
Full-time
Caen
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
64%
29%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 14. · Caen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 +29 41
2 Angers 15 7 5 3 +5 26
3 Lyon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
4 St Etienne 15 8 1 6 +1 25
5 Caen 14 8 1 5 +0 25
6 Nice 15 7 3 5 +11 24
7 Monaco 14 6 5 3 +0 23
8 Rennes 15 5 7 3 +3 22
9 Lorient 15 5 6 4 +3 21
10 Nantes 15 6 2 7 -3 20
11 Guingamp 15 5 4 6 -5 19
12 Marseille 14 5 3 6 +6 18
13 Montpellier 15 5 3 7 -1 18
14 Bordeaux 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Reims 15 4 4 7 -4 16
16 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 15 4 4 7 -5 16
17 Bastia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
18 Lille 15 2 8 5 -3 14
19 Toulouse 15 2 6 7 -14 12
20 Troyes 15 0 5 10 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Caen
6′
S. Ben Youssef 0–1
Henri Saivet 🟨
16′
D. Rolan 🔁
↦ F. Guilbert
25′
27′
🟨 Chaker Alhadhur
Half-time 0–1
E. Crivelli 🔁
↦ W. Khazri
54′
Lamine Sané 🟨
55′
56′
D. Da Silva 0–2
61′
C. Carrasso 1–2
own goal
Clément Chantôme 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 J. Adéoti
↦ N. Seube
André Poko 🟨
64′
68′
🔁 H. Bazile
↦ C. Alhadhur
J. Plašil 🔁
↦ C. Diabaté
72′
77′
A. Delort 1–3
J. Delaplace
78′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ J. Delaplace
André Poko 🟨
81′
André Poko 🟥
81′
82′
🟨 Jordan Adeoti
Adam Ounas 🟨
90′
2–3 E. Crivelli
N. Maurice-Belay
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Bordeaux

16 C. Carrasso G
3 D. Contento D
6 L. Sané D
26 F. Guilbert D
21 C. Yamberé D
19 N. Maurice-Belay M
11 C. Chantôme M
24 W. Khazri F
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
10 H. Saivet M
14 C. Diabaté F
Bench (7)
9 D. Rolan
27 E. Crivelli
18 J. Plašil
33 A. Ounas
20 Jussiê
29 M. Poundjé
30 J. Prior

Caen

1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
12 D. Appiah D
21 C. Alhadhur M
2 N. Seube M
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
6 J. Delaplace M
23 R. Rodelin F
9 A. Delort F
Bench (7)
18 J. Adéoti
20 H. Bazile
17 J. Makengo
8 J. Nkololo
19 J. Leborgne
22 A. Raineau
30 P. Reulet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.