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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Caen

U S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Bastia

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 14. · Bastia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Dijon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Caen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Metz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.