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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

Lyon

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Caen

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 1. · Caen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.