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Ligue 1
Referee: Fredy Fautrel
Rennes
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Monaco
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
62%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 7. · Monaco 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 34 27 5 2 +71 86
2 Lyon 35 17 8 10 +21 59
3 Monaco 34 15 13 6 +9 58
4 Nice 35 16 9 10 +15 57
5 St Etienne 35 17 6 12 +8 57
6 Lille 34 13 13 8 +10 52
7 Rennes 34 13 12 9 +5 51
8 Angers 34 13 10 11 +5 49
9 Caen 35 14 5 16 -15 47
10 Nantes 35 11 12 12 -7 45
11 Montpellier 35 12 7 16 +1 43
12 Guingamp 35 11 10 14 -7 43
13 Lorient 35 10 13 12 -8 43
14 Bastia 35 12 7 16 -8 43
15 Bordeaux 34 10 13 11 -11 43
16 Marseille 35 8 17 10 +4 41
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 35 8 13 14 -15 37
18 Reims 35 9 9 17 -14 36
19 Toulouse 35 7 12 16 -12 33
20 Troyes 35 3 8 24 -52 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -15 Monaco – Rennes 1–1

Match report

Rennes Monaco
14′
Hélder Costa 0–1
N. Dirar
Half-time 0–1
72′
🔁 Jemerson
↦ A. Raggi
J. Boga 🔁
↦ Y. Sylla
73′
73′
🔁 João Moutinho
↦ Hélder Costa
79′
🟨 Fabinho
1–1 G. Sio
J. Boga
80′
83′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ L. Traoré
Romain Danzé 🟨
86′
Pedro Henrique 🔁
↦ G. Sio
87′
J. Gnagnon 🔁
↦ R. Danzé
88′
90′
🟨 Wallace dos Santos
90′
🟨 Guido Carrillo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

1 B. Costil
29 R. Danzé D
22 S. Armand D
14 F. Diagne D
24 L. Baal D
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
20 Y. Sylla M
10 K. Grosicki M
13 G. Sio F
23 O. Dembèlé F
Bench (7)
17 J. Boga
18 Pedro Henrique
33 J. Gnagnon
3 C. M'Bengue
4 Mexer
12 S. Moreira
16 O. Sorin

Monaco

1 D. Subašić G
6 Ricardo Carvalho
24 A. Raggi D
2 Fabinho M
13 Wallace D
28 J. Toulalan D
7 N. Dirar M
18 Hélder Costa F
14 T. Bakayoko M
10 Bernardo Silva M
19 L. Traoré F
Bench (7)
5 Jemerson
8 João Moutinho
11 G. Carrillo
9 Vágner Love
16 P. Nardi
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
27 T. Lemar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fredy Fautrel · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
6,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.