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Ligue 1
Referee: Antony Gautier
Nice
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Rennes
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Caen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Rennes
24′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ C. Chantôme
32′
🟨 Pedro Mendes
Half-time 0–0
A. Donis 🔁
↦ A. Plea
59′
1–0 M. Sarr
J. Seri
60′
W. Cyprien 🔁
↦ V. Marcel
64′
70′
🔁 A. Diakhaby
↦ G. Sio
79′
🔁 K. Erasmus
↦ G. Fernandes
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ A. Lusamba
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
30 Y. Cardinale G
4 P. Baysse D
2 A. Souquet D
29 Dalbert Henrique D
34 M. Sarr D
6 J. Seri M
18 R. Walter M
26 V. Koziello M
8 A. Lusamba M
33 V. Marcel F
14 A. Plea F
Bench (7)
22 A. Donis
25 W. Cyprien
24 M. Bodmer
7 J. Vercauteren
12 A. Rafetraniaina
23 A. Bosetti
1 M. Hassen

Coach: L. Favre

Rennes

4-4-2
1 B. Costil
24 L. Baal D
5 Pedro Mendes D
12 S. Moreira D
15 R. Bensebaini D
28 Y. Gourcuff M
8 C. Chantôme M
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
13 G. Sio F
11 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
10 K. Grosicki
31 A. Diakhaby
9 K. Erasmus
22 S. Armand
29 R. Danzé
20 Y. Sylla
40 A. Diallo

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antony Gautier · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.