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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Lokeren

S T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Corners 4

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lokeren 14. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Genk	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Gent	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Standard	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Oostende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Lokeren	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Beveren	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Kortrijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Oostende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lokeren	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	5
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Genk	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
8	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lokeren	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.