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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Bastia
T T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
10 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Jan -16 Paris SG – Bastia 2–0 17. Oct -15 Bastia – Paris SG 0–2

Match report

Bastia Paris SG
Yannick Cahuzac 🟨
22′
35′
🟨 Thiago Motta
Half-time 0–0
G. Danic 🔁
↦ S. Diallo
58′
65′
🔁 Jesé
↦ H. Ben Arfa
Sébastien Squillaci 🟨
71′
73′
⚽ L. Kurzawa 0–1
75′
🔁 M. Verratti
↦ T. Motta
75′
🔁 B. Matuidi
↦ J. Pastore
T. Bifouma 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
81′
Jean-Louis Leca 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Layvin Kurzawa
90′
🟨 Blaise Matuidi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bastia

4-3-2-1
16 J. Leca G
28 F. Marange D
5 S. Squillaci D
17 M. Peybernes D
23 A. Djiku D
18 Y. Cahuzac M
14 M. Mostefa M
6 A. Saint-Maximin F
25 L. Coulibaly M
2 S. Diallo M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
8 G. Danic
13 T. Bifouma
7 Jerson Cabral
11 L. Nangis
19 A. Ngando
29 G. Cioni
30 P. Charruau

Coach: F. Ciccolini

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
1 K. Trapp G
32 David Luiz D
20 L. Kurzawa D
19 S. Aurier D
3 P. Kimpembe D
21 H. Ben Arfa F
8 T. Motta M
11 Á. di María F
10 J. Pastore M
7 Lucas Moura M
25 A. Rabiot M
Bench (7)
22 Jesé
6 M. Verratti
14 B. Matuidi
12 T. Meunier
16 A. Areola
17 Maxwell
33 J. Ikone

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.