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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Lazio
T S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
3,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 4. · Juventus 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Roma 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Pescara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Inter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Juventus
Ştefan Radu 🟨
18′
43′
🟨 Alex Sandro
Half-time 0–0
S. Milinković-Savić 🔁
↦ S. Lulić
59′
61′
🟨 Mario Lemina
Patric 🔁
↦ J. Lukaku
63′
65′
🔁 G. Higuaín
↦ M. Mandžukić
66′
S. Khedira 0–1
P. Dybala
F. Đorđević 🔁
↦ D. Basta
72′
73′
🔁 S. Lichtsteiner
↦ Dani Alves
88′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ P. Dybala
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-4-3
22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
6 J. Lukaku D
15 Bastos D
20 L. Biglia M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Felipe Anderson M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
21 S. Milinković-Savić
4 Patric
9 F. Đorđević
1 T. Strakosha
2 W. Hoedt
5 D. Cataldi
7 R. Kishna
13 Wallace
23 M. Leitner
25 C. Lombardi
55 I. Vargić
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Juventus

3-5-2
1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
23 Dani Alves D
4 M. Benatia D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
6 S. Khedira M
22 K. Asamoah D
18 M. Lemina M
17 M. Mandžukić F
21 P. Dybala F
Bench (9)
9 G. Higuaín
26 S. Lichtsteiner
20 M. Pjaca
5 M. Pjanić
11 Hernanes
24 D. Rugani
25 Neto
32 E. Audero
33 P. Evra

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.