Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Napoli

T S S S U

4–2

Full-time

Milan

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Napoli Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Napoli 11. · Milan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Inter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Inter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.