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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Empoli
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Udinese
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 14%
9%
18%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 31
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 10
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 13
3 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 19. · Udinese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Napoli 12 9 1 2 +13 28
3 Inter 12 8 1 3 +12 25
4 Milan 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Lazio 11 7 0 4 +4 21
6 Atalanta 12 5 3 4 +9 18
7 Sassuolo 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Fiorentina 12 4 5 3 +8 17
9 Torino 12 4 5 3 +2 17
10 Parma 12 5 2 5 -3 17
11 Roma 11 4 4 3 +4 16
12 Sampdoria 11 4 3 4 +4 15
13 Cagliari 12 3 5 4 -4 14
14 Genoa 12 4 2 6 -9 14
15 Spal 12 4 1 7 -8 13
16 Udinese 11 2 3 6 -6 9
17 Bologna 11 2 3 6 -7 9
18 Frosinone 12 1 4 7 -15 7
19 Empoli 11 1 3 7 -10 6
20 Chievo 11 0 2 9 -20 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Udinese
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 🟨
21′
24′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
40′
🟨 Seko Fofana
1–0 M. Zajc
F. Caputo
41′
Rade Krunić 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. Caputo
R. Krunić
51′
A. La Gumina 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
60′
64′
🔁 D. Machís
↦ Samir
81′
I. Pussetto 2–1
D. Machís
M. Brighi 🔁
↦ R. Krunić
82′
83′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ H. ter Avest
F. Veseli 🔁
↦ H. Traorè
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-2-1
1 I. Provedel G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 L. Antonelli D
22 D. Maietta D
2 G. Di Lorenzo D
18 A. Acquah M
6 M. Zajc M
33 R. Krunić M
10 I. Bennacer M
8 H. Traorè M
11 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
20 A. La Gumina
4 M. Brighi
5 F. Veseli
17 L. Lollo
21 P. Terracciano
23 M. Pasqual
27 J. Untersee
28 L. Capezzi
32 J. Rasmussen
48 S. Uçan
66 S. Mráz
99 A. Fulignati

Coach: G. Iachini

Udinese

3-1-4-2
1 J. Musso G
19 J. Larsen D
2 M. Wagué D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
18 H. ter Avest D
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto M
38 R. Mandragora M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (10)
16 D. Machís
77 M. D'Alessandro
4 N. Opoku
7 G. Pezzella
11 V. Behrami
14 P. Mićin
21 S. Pontisso
22 S. Scuffet
88 Nicolas
99 A. Balić

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.