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Premier League

Referee: Paul Tierney

Liverpool

U U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Fulham

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-2,2

This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

73%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

45%

73%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

21 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 3. · Fulham 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	9	2	0	+29	29
2	Chelsea	11	8	3	0	+19	27
3	Liverpool	11	8	3	0	+16	27
4	Tottenham	12	9	0	3	+10	27
5	Arsenal	11	7	2	2	+11	23
6	Bournemouth	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Watford	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Man United	11	6	2	3	+1	20
9	Everton	11	5	3	3	+4	18
10	Leicester	12	5	2	5	+1	17
11	Wolves	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Brighton	12	4	2	6	-5	14
13	West Ham	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Newcastle	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Burnley	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Crystal Palace	12	2	2	8	-9	8
17	Southampton	12	1	5	6	-13	8
18	Cardiff	12	2	2	8	-14	8
19	Huddersfield	12	1	4	7	-16	7
20	Fulham	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Chelsea	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Everton	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Watford	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Bournemouth	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Man United	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Leicester	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Wolves	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	West Ham	6	2	1	3	+1	7
13	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Tottenham	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Newcastle	7	2	0	5	-4	6
16	Huddersfield	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Southampton	6	0	4	2	-4	4
19	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-7	4
20	Crystal Palace	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Liverpool	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Chelsea	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Man City	5	3	2	0	+8	11
5	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Man United	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Bournemouth	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Leicester	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Watford	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Wolves	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Crystal Palace	6	2	0	4	-3	6
12	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	West Ham	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Burnley	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Brighton	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Southampton	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Newcastle	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Huddersfield	5	0	2	3	-10	2
19	Cardiff	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Fulham	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.