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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Rennes
U S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Nantes
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 13. · Nantes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 12 0 0 +34 36
2 Lille 13 8 2 3 +11 26
3 Montpellier 13 7 4 2 +12 25
4 Lyon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
5 St Etienne 13 6 5 2 +2 23
6 Nice 13 6 2 5 -4 20
7 Marseille 12 6 1 5 +1 19
8 Strasbourg 13 4 6 3 +4 18
9 Reims 13 4 5 4 -4 17
10 Bordeaux 13 4 4 5 -1 16
11 Nantes 12 4 3 5 +2 15
12 Angers 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Nimes 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Toulouse 13 3 5 5 -10 14
16 Amiens 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Caen 13 2 6 5 -5 12
18 Dijon 12 3 2 7 -9 11
19 Monaco 12 1 4 7 -6 7
20 Guingamp 13 1 4 8 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nantes
7′
🟨 Abdoulaye Touré
1–0 J. Johansson
C. Grenier
8′
15′
E. Sala 1–1
Lucas Lima
21′
🟨 Enock Kwateng
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Fábio
↦ E. Kwateng
Mehdi Zeffane 🟨
51′
Benjamin André 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Diego Carlos
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
59′
Clément Grenier 🟨
64′
T. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
72′
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
76′
78′
🔁 Lucas Evangelista
↦ V. Rongier
M. Niang 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
85′
88′
🔁 A. Limbombe
↦ Boschilia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
2 M. Zeffane D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
6 J. Johansson M
8 C. Grenier M
21 B. André M
23 A. Hunou M
22 R. Del Castillo M
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
9 T. Siebatcheu
18 H. Ben Arfa
11 M. Niang
28 D. Poha
30 E. Gertmonas
12 J. Lea Siliki
14 B. Bourigeaud

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Nantes

4-3-3
30 C. Tătărușanu G
6 Lucas Lima D
4 N. Pallois D
3 Diego Carlos D
25 E. Kwateng D
20 Andrei Girotto M
19 A. Touré M
12 Boschilia F
28 V. Rongier M
10 A. Waris F
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
2 Fábio
17 Lucas Evangelista
22 A. Limbombe
1 M. Dupé
21 R. Krhin
7 K. Coulibaly
5 K. Mbodji

Coach: V. Halilhodžić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.