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Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Roma
U U T S S
2–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
48%
26%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 70%
65%
74%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Sampdoria 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 24 17 5 2 +34 56
2 Juventus 24 17 3 4 +30 54
3 Fiorentina 24 14 4 6 +19 46
4 Inter 24 13 6 5 +10 45
5 Roma 23 11 8 4 +17 41
6 Milan 24 11 7 6 +9 40
7 Sassuolo 24 8 10 6 +0 34
8 Empoli 24 9 7 8 -3 34
9 Lazio 24 9 6 9 -3 33
10 Chievo 24 8 6 10 -3 30
11 Bologna 24 9 3 12 -3 30
12 Torino 24 7 7 10 -2 28
13 Atalanta 24 7 7 10 -4 28
14 Udinese 24 7 6 11 -16 27
15 Palermo 24 7 5 12 -13 26
16 Genoa 24 6 7 11 -4 25
17 Sampdoria 23 6 6 11 -6 24
18 Carpi 24 4 7 13 -18 19
19 Frosinone 24 5 4 15 -26 19
20 Verona 24 1 12 11 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -15 Sampdoria – Roma 2–1

Match report

Roma Sampdoria
11′
🟨 Édgar Barreto
Ervin Zukanović 🟨
34′
38′
🟨 Joaquín Correa
1–0 A. Florenzi
45′
Half-time 1–0
L. Digne 🔁
↦ E. Zukanović
46′
2–0 D. Perotti
S. El Shaarawy
50′
55′
🟨 Andrea Ranocchia
56′
🔁 F. Quagliarella
↦ L. Muriel
57′
M. Pjanić 3–0
own goal
Seydou Keita 🟨
61′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ Maicon
66′
71′
🔁 R. Álvarez
↦ É. Barreto
77′
🔁 A. Cassano
↦ J. Correa
Iago Falqué 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
13 Maicon D
87 E. Zukanović D
44 K. Manolas D
2 A. Rüdiger D
20 S. Kéita
15 M. Pjanić M
8 D. Perotti F
11 Mohamed Salah F
24 A. Florenzi D
22 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (11)
3 L. Digne
9 E. Džeko
14 Iago Falqué
5 Leandro Castan
10 F. Totti
21 W. Vainqueur
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
48 S. Uçan
97 S. Umar
99 N. Abdullahi

Sampdoria

2 E. Viviano G
5 M. Cassani D
26 M. Silvestre D
16 A. Ranocchia D
11 Dodô D
8 É. Barreto M
21 R. Soriano M
7 Fernando M
95 D. Ivan M
10 J. Correa M
24 L. Muriel F
Bench (11)
27 F. Quagliarella
25 R. Álvarez
99 A. Cassano
1 C. Puggioni
9 Alejandro Rodriguez
13 Pedro Pereira
17 A. Palombo
18 L. Christodoulopoulos
20 N. Krstičić
37 M. Škriniar
57 A. Brignoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Celi Domenico · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.