Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Notodden
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
29 | 19 | 1 | 9 | +22 | 58 |
| 2 |
Mjondalen
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | +27 | 55 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +12 | 42 |
| 6 |
Ull/Kisa
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +11 | 40 |
| 7 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -5 | 40 |
| 8 |
Ham-Kam
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 39 |
| 9 |
Sandnes ULF
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 |
Strommen
|
29 | 12 | 2 | 15 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Nest-Sotra
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +0 | 37 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 |
Notodden
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 |
Asane
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 |
Floro
|
29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | -30 | 27 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -38 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dyngeland
E. Schulze
S. Haugen
Coach: E. Bakke
Coach: K. Dokken
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tromsdalen Uil
Sogndal
Sogndal
Aalesund
Asane
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Sogndal
Sogndal
Nest-Sotra
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.