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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Orsato
Sampdoria
T T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
75%
40%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 6. · Roma 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 17 3 1 +32 54
2 Juventus 21 17 2 2 +35 53
3 Lazio 21 14 4 3 +31 46
4 Inter 21 12 7 2 +20 43
5 Roma 20 12 4 4 +16 40
6 Sampdoria 20 10 3 7 +9 33
7 Milan 21 9 4 8 -1 31
8 Atalanta 21 8 6 7 +4 30
9 Udinese 21 9 2 10 +3 29
10 Torino 21 6 11 4 +1 29
11 Fiorentina 21 7 7 7 +6 28
12 Bologna 21 8 3 10 -4 27
13 Chievo 21 5 7 9 -16 22
14 Sassuolo 21 6 4 11 -17 22
15 Genoa 21 5 6 10 -7 21
16 Cagliari 21 6 2 13 -14 20
17 Crotone 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Spal 21 3 7 11 -17 16
19 Verona 21 3 4 14 -26 13
20 Benevento 21 2 1 18 -33 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Roma
15′
🟨 Edin Džeko
Karol Linetty 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Quagliarella
47′
G. Caprari 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
51′
61′
🟨 Kevin Strootman
63′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ G. Defrel
N. Murru 🔁
↦ I. Strinić
74′
74′
🔁 M. Antonucci
↦ C. Ünder
É. Barreto 🔁
↦ D. Praet
80′
81′
🔁 Gerson
↦ Lorenzo Pellegrini
90′
🟨 Alessandro Florenzi
91′
E. Džeko 1–1
M. Antonucci
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
2 E. Viviano G
26 M. Silvestre D
17 I. Strinić D
24 B. Bereszyński D
13 G. Ferrari D
90 G. Ramírez M
18 D. Praet M
16 K. Linetty M
34 L. Torreira M
27 F. Quagliarella F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
9 G. Caprari
29 N. Murru
8 É. Barreto
1 C. Puggioni
3 J. Andersen
7 J. Sala
11 R. Álvarez
19 V. Regini
21 V. Verre
28 L. Capezzi
92 A. Tozzo
99 D. Kownacki

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Roma

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
11 A. Kolarov D
20 F. Fazio D
44 K. Manolas D
4 R. Nainggolan M
6 K. Strootman M
24 A. Florenzi D
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M
17 C. Ünder M
9 E. Džeko F
23 G. Defrel F
Bench (10)
14 P. Schick
48 M. Antonucci
30 Gerson
5 Juan Jesus
15 H. Moreno
18 B. Lobonț
22 N. Abdullahi
25 Bruno Peres
28 Ł. Skorupski
33 Emerson

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Orsato · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.