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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Tromso
T U S T U
0–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 2
1 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 9. · Sarpsborg 08 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Rosenborg 6 3 2 1 +6 11
3 Molde 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Viking 5 3 0 2 -1 9
5 Kristiansund 5 3 0 2 -1 9
6 Valerenga 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Stabaek 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Tromso 5 1 2 2 -4 5
10 Stromsgodset 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sandefjord 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Lillestrom 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Odd 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sarpsborg 08 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Haugesund 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Brann 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sarpsborg 08
Ruben Jenssen 🟨
10′
Anders Jenssen 🟥
11′
12′
I. Koné 0–1
24′
J. Lindseth 0–2
40′
🟨 Bjorn Utvik
Half-time 0–2
49′
🟨 Joachim Thomassen
61′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ E. Pálsson
61′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ I. Koné
69′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
J. Rothmann 🔁
↦ M. Ebiye
69′
F. Winther 🔁
↦ D. Berntsen
69′
78′
🔁 B. Karamoko
↦ B. Utvik
N. Vesterlund 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
91′
93′
🟨 Anders Kristiansen
95′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ O. Halvorsen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
5 A. Jenssen D
16 T. Totland M
6 I. Amundsen D
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
25 L. Nilsen M
21 E. Kitolano M
14 A. Mikkelsen F
17 D. Berntsen M
18 M. Ebiye F
Bench (9)
29 J. Rothmann
7 F. Winther
19 N. Vesterlund
15 M. Andersen
23 R. Norheim
3 J. Robertsen
20 C. Øyvann
32 M. Trige
2 A. Arnarson

Coach: G. Helstrup

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
21 A. Kristiansen G
16 J. Thomassen M
24 M. Dyrestam D
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
4 B. Utvik D
2 S. Bojang M
7 O. Halvorsen F
14 E. Pálsson M
11 J. Lindseth F
29 I. Koné F
Bench (9)
8 M. Ofkir
25 S. Skålevik
28 B. Karamoko
32 E. Wichne
19 L. Mendy
13 Felix Michel
1 S. Nilsen
23 E. Derviskadic
17 J. Soltvedt

Coach: M. Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.