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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Lazio
S S U U T
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -18 Napoli – Lazio 4–1 20. Sep -17 Lazio – Napoli 1–4 9. Apr -17 Lazio – Napoli 0–3 5. Nov -16 Napoli – Lazio 1–1 3. Feb -16 Lazio – Napoli 0–2

Match report

Lazio Napoli
1–0 C. Immobile ⚽
F. Acerbi
25′
Half-time 1–0
Bastos 🔁
↦ Luiz Felipe
46′
47′
⚽ A. Milik 1–1
José Callejón
59′
⚽ L. Insigne 1–2
Allan
J. Correa 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
68′
70′
🔁 A. Diawara
↦ M. Hamšík
76′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ L. Insigne
85′
🔁 M. Rog
↦ P. Zieliński
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ M. Parolo
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
22 M. Cáceres D
33 F. Acerbi D
77 A. Marušić M
3 Luiz Felipe D
25 M. Badelj M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
15 Bastos
11 J. Correa
32 D. Cataldi
8 D. Basta
9 A. Rossi
13 Wallace
14 R. Durmisi
20 F. Caicedo
23 G. Guerrieri
24 S. Proto
66 Bruno Jordão
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Napoli

4-3-3
27 O. Karnezis G
33 Albiol D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
20 P. Zieliński M
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
99 A. Milik F
Bench (12)
42 A. Diawara
14 D. Mertens
30 M. Rog
2 K. Malcuit
8 Fabián Ruiz
9 S. Verdi
11 A. Ounas
13 S. Luperto
19 N. Maksimović
21 V. Chiricheș
25 D. Ospina
22 D. Marfella

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.