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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Dijon
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Nantes
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dijon 10. · Nantes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Lyon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Caen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Nantes
1–0 Júlio Tavares
O. Haddadi
8′
43′
🟨 Diego Carlos
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ E. Sala
58′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ Boschilia
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ B. Jeannot
72′
2–0 Júlio Tavares
V. Rosier
73′
78′
🟥 Abdoulaye Touré
82′
🔁 R. Krhin
↦ Lucas Evangelista
Y. Gourcuff 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
83′
J. Keita 🔁
↦ F. Sammaritano
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Rúnarsson G
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
7 F. Sammaritano M
8 M. Abeid M
10 N. Sliti M
12 E. Loiodice M
11 Júlio Tavares F
29 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
9 W. Saïd
28 Y. Gourcuff
23 J. Keita
4 N. Aguerd
16 B. Allain
26 F. Chafik
14 J. Marié

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Nantes

4-2-3-1
30 C. Tătărușanu G
6 Lucas Lima D
13 M. Miazga D
3 Diego Carlos D
25 E. Kwateng D
19 A. Touré M
12 Boschilia F
28 V. Rongier M
17 Lucas Evangelista M
18 S. Moutoussamy M
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
7 K. Coulibaly
10 A. Waris
21 R. Krhin
23 A. Dabo
1 M. Dupé
33 P. Prado
34 T. Basila

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.