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LaLiga2
Alcorcon
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Cartagena
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
11%
42%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
53%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 22. · Cartagena 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 14 3 3 +24 45
2 Ponferradina 20 10 6 4 +10 36
3 Eibar 20 10 6 4 +6 36
4 Tenerife 20 10 5 5 +10 35
5 Valladolid 20 10 4 6 +7 34
6 Las Palmas 19 8 6 5 +3 30
7 Oviedo 20 6 10 4 +4 28
8 Girona 20 8 4 8 +2 28
9 Burgos 20 8 4 8 +2 28
10 Malaga 20 7 6 7 -6 27
11 Huesca 20 6 8 6 +2 26
12 Zaragoza 20 5 11 4 -2 26
13 Cartagena 19 8 2 9 -4 26
14 Ibiza 20 5 10 5 -2 25
15 Sp Gijon 20 6 6 8 -5 24
16 Lugo 20 4 11 5 +0 23
17 Leganes 20 5 7 8 -2 22
18 Mirandes 19 5 5 9 -5 20
19 Fuenlabrada 20 3 10 7 -7 19
20 Amorebieta 19 3 8 8 -7 17
21 Sociedad B 19 4 5 10 -7 17
22 Alcorcon 19 2 3 14 -23 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
2,92
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.