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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Greuther Furth

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Union Berlin

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

5,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

4,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-3,2

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

0,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

79%

57%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

4,1

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

3,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-2,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

5 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Greuther Furth 18. · Union Berlin 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	12	1	2	+31	37
2	Dortmund	15	10	1	4	+13	31
3	Leverkusen	14	8	3	3	+16	27
4	Hoffenheim	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Freiburg	15	7	4	4	+11	25
6	Union Berlin	14	6	5	3	+2	23
7	RB Leipzig	15	6	3	6	+10	21
8	Mainz	15	6	3	6	+5	21
9	Bochum	15	6	2	7	-7	20
10	Wolfsburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
11	FC Koln	15	4	7	4	-2	19
12	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	6	4	-2	18
13	M'gladbach	15	5	3	7	-9	18
14	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-12	18
15	Stuttgart	15	4	5	6	-3	17
16	Augsburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Bielefeld	15	1	7	7	-12	10
18	Greuther Furth	14	0	1	13	-34	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	+19	21
2	Dortmund	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	RB Leipzig	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Hoffenheim	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Mainz	8	4	3	1	+9	15
7	FC Koln	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Bochum	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	M'gladbach	7	4	2	1	+2	14
10	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	+5	12
11	Stuttgart	8	3	2	3	+3	11
12	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
13	Hertha	7	3	2	2	+2	11
14	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
15	Wolfsburg	8	3	1	4	-5	10
16	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	4	1	+0	7
17	Bielefeld	8	0	5	3	-7	5
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+12	16
2	Leverkusen	7	4	3	0	+11	15
3	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	-2	11
5	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-1	10
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-14	7
9	Union Berlin	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Mainz	7	2	0	5	-4	6
11	Stuttgart	7	1	3	3	-6	6
12	Augsburg	8	1	3	4	-6	6
13	Bochum	8	2	0	6	-12	6
14	Bielefeld	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	FC Koln	7	0	4	3	-8	4
16	M'gladbach	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	RB Leipzig	7	0	3	4	-5	3
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	0	8	-25	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.